Vitória SC vs Maritimo prediction
Primeira LigaRound 9
Vitória SC21:45
Fri 23 Oct
Prediction T-24h
MaritimoMost likelyVitória SC win · 48%
Prediction
48%1Vitória SC
28%XDraw
24%2Maritimo
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Vitória SC | Maritimo |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Vitória SC
- L0-2BEN
- D1-1MOR
- L1-2AV
- D0-0CP
- L0-1SB
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Maritimo
- L1-2FP
- D1-1GV
- L1-3MOR
- L0-3BEN
- L1-2ARO
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Vitória SC
No reported absences.
Maritimo
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Vitória SC
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.38last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.08last 9
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 3 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 2 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.8last 10
- Shots
- 17.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.9last 10
- Fouls
- 15.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.9last 9
Maritimo
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 8
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 8
- xG for / game
- 0.88last 7
- xG against / game
- 1.48last 7
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 8
- BTTS
- 6 / 8
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 8
Match stats
- Corners
- 2.9last 8
- Shots
- 10.0last 8
- Shots on target
- 3.2last 8
- Fouls
- 15.4last 8
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 8
Line movement
Vitória SC—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Maritimo—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Vitória SC result here, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (away) and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Defensive xG form (away)2.74Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)134Away form (away)2.57Home advantage (team-tuned)55.9Rest-days edge-1.00Recent form (away)0.78
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.