Watford vs Blackburn prediction
ChampionshipRound 17Vicarage Road
Watford20:45
Wed 25 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
BlackburnMost likelyWatford win · 40%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Watford win
Oddbert gives Watford a 40% chance of winning.
40%Watford
22%Draw
38%Blackburn
In 100 matches like this, Watford would win about 40. In the other 60 or so, Watford doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Watford win 40, Draw 22, Blackburn win 38.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
40%1WatfordWatford win
22%XDrawDraw
38%2BlackburnBlackburn win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Watford (40%), doesn't happen in about 60 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Watford
- D0-0MID
- W1-0LIN
- L2-3NOR
- L0-1WOL
- W2-0CHA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Blackburn
- W2-1WH
- L1-2SC
- L0-4SWA
- W2-0WRE
- L2-3WB
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Watford
Absence data is not available for this match.
Blackburn
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Watford 1Draws 1Blackburn 2
- BLA 1-1 WAT
- WAT 0-1 BLA
- BLA 2-1 WAT
- WAT 1-0 BLA
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Watford
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.94last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.82last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.9last 10
- Shots
- 11.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.7last 10
- Fouls
- 11.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 10
Key players
- M. Boadu2G 1A7 apps
- Iker Bravo0G 3A10 apps
- E. Kayembe1G 1A10 apps
Blackburn
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.10last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.70last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.9last 10
- Shots
- 11.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.8last 10
- Fouls
- 11.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 10
Key players
- A. Guðjohnsen8G 0A9 apps
- O. Afolayan5G 1A10 apps
- Kristi Montgomery1G 1A9 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Vicarage Road, Watford
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 22,200
Line movement
Watford—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Blackburn—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Watford result here; the model's main factors are Pi-rating edge and League id. The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge-0.08League id40.0What's at stake (home)0.14Expected goals (home)1.03Recent form (home)4.40Defensive xG form (away)2.04
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.