Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction
BundesligaRound 8
Werder Bremen15:30
Sat 31 Oct
Prediction T-24h
1899 HoffenheimMost likely1899 Hoffenheim win · 41%
Prediction
31%1Werder Bremen
28%XDraw
41%21899 Hoffenheim
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Werder Bremen | 1899 Hoffenheim |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Werder Bremen
- D2-2BD
- W3-2FA
- D1-11FK
- W3-1RL
- L1-4SF
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
1899 Hoffenheim
- L2-3HS
- L1-3SP0
- W2-1VS
- L2-3BD
- L2-31FK
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Werder Bremen
No reported absences.
1899 Hoffenheim
No reported absences.
Head to head
Werder Bremen 1Draws 01899 Hoffenheim 3
- 1H 1-0 WB
- WB 0-2 1H
- WB 1-3 1H
- 1H 3-4 WB
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Werder Bremen
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.25last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.84last 9
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.1last 10
- Shots
- 12.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.2last 10
- Fouls
- 10.7last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 9
1899 Hoffenheim
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.76last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.34last 9
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 9 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.8last 10
- Shots
- 16.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.0last 10
- Fouls
- 13.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.5last 10
Line movement
Werder Bremen—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
1899 Hoffenheim—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a 1899 Hoffenheim result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Defensive xG form (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-51.5Defensive xG form (home)2.68Attacking xG form (home)2.40Attacking xG form (away)2.33What's at stake (home)0.06Home advantage (team-tuned)14.2
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.