Werder Bremen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction
BundesligaRound 11
Werder Bremen20:30
Fri 27 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Borussia MönchengladbachMost likelyWerder Bremen win · 42%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Werder Bremen win
Oddbert gives Werder Bremen a 42% chance of winning.
42%Werder Bremen
26%Draw
32%Borussia Mönchengladbach
In 100 matches like this, Werder Bremen would win about 42. In the other 58 or so, Werder Bremen doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Werder Bremen win 42, Draw 26, Borussia Mönchengladbach win 32.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
42%1Werder BremenWerder Bremen win
26%XDrawDraw
32%2Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Werder Bremen meet Borussia Mönchengladbach. The model leans only slightly toward Werder Bremen in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and Pi-rating edge. See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Werder Bremen (42%), doesn't happen in about 58 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Werder Bremen
- L0-1VS
- W2-01H
- W3-2FM0
- D2-2SP0
- D2-2BD
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- L1-3HS
- D0-0SP0
- W3-2VS
- L1-21H
- L1-21FK
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Werder Bremen
Absence data is not available for this match.
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Werder Bremen 1Draws 1Borussia Mönchengladbach 2
- WB 1-1 BM
- BM 0-4 WB
- WB 2-4 BM
- BM 4-1 WB
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Werder Bremen
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.51last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.64last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.4last 10
- Shots
- 15.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.2last 10
- Fouls
- 10.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 9
Key players
- N. Füllkrug9G 0A9 apps
- M. Grüll2G 6A10 apps
- E. Dinkçi2G 1A9 apps
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.59last 10
- xG against / game
- 2.12last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 9 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.0last 10
- Shots
- 14.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.9last 10
- Fouls
- 14.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 3.0last 10
Key players
- J. Scally3G 2A10 apps
- W. Mohya2G 2A10 apps
- H. Bolin3G 0A8 apps
Line movement
Werder Bremen—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Borussia Mönchengladbach—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans only slightly toward Werder Bremen in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and Pi-rating edge. This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (home)1.85Pi-rating edge0.25Expected goals (home)1.89Attacking xG form (away)1.56What's at stake (home)0.02League id78.0
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.