West Brom vs Cardiff prediction
ChampionshipRound 20The Hawthorns
West Brom20:45
Tue 8 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
CardiffMost likelyWest Brom win · 59%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: West Brom win
Oddbert gives West Brom a 59% chance of winning.
59%West Brom
22%Draw
19%Cardiff
In 100 matches like this, West Brom would win about 59. In the other 41 or so, West Brom doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: West Brom win 59, Draw 22, Cardiff win 19.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
59%1West BromWest Brom win
22%XDrawDraw
19%2CardiffCardiff win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for West Brom (59%), doesn't happen in about 41 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
West Brom
- W3-0MIL
- D1-1SOU
- W3-1WH
- D1-1PRE
- W3-2BLA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Cardiff
- W5-4BUR
- D3-3WH
- L0-3WOL
- W1-0BIR
- D2-2MID
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
West Brom
Absence data is not available for this match.
Cardiff
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
West Brom 0Draws 2Cardiff 0
- CAR 0-0 WB
- WB 0-0 CAR
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
West Brom
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.68last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.27last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.2last 10
- Shots
- 13.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.6last 10
- Fouls
- 10.2last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 10
Key players
- I. Price4G 2A10 apps
- F. Myhre3G 2A7 apps
- A. Heggebø3G 1A10 apps
Cardiff
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.28last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.58last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.6last 10
- Shots
- 17.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.7last 10
- Fouls
- 9.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 10
Key players
- J. Moylan9G 3A10 apps
- O. Tanner3G 3A10 apps
- Y. Salech4G 1A7 apps
Venue
- Venue
- The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 28,003
Line movement
West Brom—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Cardiff—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a West Brom result here; the model's main factors are Pi-rating edge and Attacking xG form (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge0.47Attacking xG form (away)2.13Expected goals (home)1.84What's at stake (away)0.01Attacking xG form (home)2.56Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)171
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.