West Ham vs Preston prediction
ChampionshipRound 16London Stadium
West Ham16:00
Sat 21 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
PrestonMost likelyWest Ham win · 65%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: West Ham win
Oddbert gives West Ham a 65% chance of winning.
65%West Ham
24%Draw
11%Preston
In 100 matches like this, West Ham would win about 65. In the other 35 or so, West Ham doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: West Ham win 65, Draw 24, Preston win 11.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
65%1West HamWest Ham win
24%XDrawDraw
11%2PrestonPreston win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for West Ham (65%), doesn't happen in about 35 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
West Ham
- L1-2BLA
- D3-3CAR
- L1-3WB
- L2-3SOU
- W1-0SWA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Preston
- W1-0SOU
- L2-3SU
- L0-2SC
- D1-1WB
- L1-4WRE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
West Ham
Absence data is not available for this match.
Preston
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
West Ham
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.96last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.33last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 7.1last 10
- Shots
- 17.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 7.3last 10
- Fouls
- 11.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 10
Key players
- J. Bowen6G 5A10 apps
- V. Castellanos1G 4A9 apps
- K. Mavropanos4G 0A9 apps
Preston
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.06last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.77last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.1last 10
- Shots
- 11.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 2.3last 10
- Fouls
- 12.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- C. Lang2G 0A10 apps
- J. Kenny2G 0A7 apps
- L. Leroy1G 1A9 apps
Venue
- Venue
- London Stadium, London
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 64,472
Line movement
West Ham—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Preston—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a West Ham result here; the model's main factors are Pi-rating edge and Expected goals (home). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge0.66Expected goals (home)3.25What's at stake (home)0.14Recent form (home)2.05Expected goals (away)1.10What's at stake (away)0.14
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.