Willem II vs Feyenoord prediction
EredivisieRound 15Koning Willem II Stadion
Willem II16:30
Sat 5 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
FeyenoordMost likelyFeyenoord win · 85%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Feyenoord win
Oddbert gives Feyenoord a 85% chance of winning.
1%Willem II
14%Draw
85%Feyenoord
In 100 matches like this, Feyenoord would win about 85. In the other 15 or so, Feyenoord doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Willem II win 1, Draw 14, Feyenoord win 85.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
1%1Willem IIWillem II win
14%XDrawDraw
85%2FeyenoordFeyenoord win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Feyenoord (85%), doesn't happen in about 15 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Willem II
- D1-1PZ
- L0-7PE
- L1-6CAM
- L2-3SR
- L1-3UTR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Feyenoord
- L3-5HEE
- L0-3INT
- D1-1FS
- D1-1PE
- L0-1RB
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Willem II
Absence data is not available for this match.
Feyenoord
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Willem II 0Draws 2Feyenoord 0
- WI 1-1 FEY
- FEY 1-1 WI
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Willem II
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 3.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.12last 10
- xG against / game
- 2.07last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.8last 10
- Shots
- 11.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.0last 10
- Fouls
- 9.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 8
Key players
- Uriel van Aalst2G 2A10 apps
- D. Haen2G 1A10 apps
- V. van Crooij0G 2A6 apps
Feyenoord
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.01last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.19last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.2last 10
- Shots
- 15.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.5last 10
- Fouls
- 9.7last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 9
Key players
- Nacho Ferri7G 2A10 apps
- A. Hadj-Moussa7G 1A10 apps
- L. Valente2G 3A10 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 14,700
Line movement
Willem II—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Feyenoord—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Feyenoord result here; the model's main factors are Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Expected goals (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-497Expected goals (away)3.94Pi-rating edge-1.26Home form (home)1.88What's at stake (away)0.15Attacking xG form (home)1.02
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.