Wrexham vs Portsmouth prediction
ChampionshipRound 18
Wrexham16:00
Sat 28 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
PortsmouthMost likelyWrexham win · 47%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Wrexham win
Oddbert gives Wrexham a 47% chance of winning.
47%Wrexham
23%Draw
30%Portsmouth
In 100 matches like this, Wrexham would win about 47. In the other 53 or so, Wrexham doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Wrexham win 47, Draw 23, Portsmouth win 30.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
47%1WrexhamWrexham win
23%XDrawDraw
30%2PortsmouthPortsmouth win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Wrexham (47%), doesn't happen in about 53 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Wrexham
- D1-1WOL
- W2-0MID
- L0-1SU
- L0-2BLA
- W4-1PRE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Portsmouth
- L1-2SC
- W3-1SWA
- D0-0BUR
- W2-1MIL
- D1-1WOL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Wrexham
Absence data is not available for this match.
Portsmouth
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Wrexham 1Draws 1Portsmouth 0
- WRE 2-1 POR
- POR 0-0 WRE
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Wrexham
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.10last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.38last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.6last 10
- Shots
- 12.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.2last 10
- Fouls
- 10.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.4last 10
Key players
- K. Moore3G 2A10 apps
- O. Rathbone2G 1A8 apps
- B. Whiteman1G 2A9 apps
Portsmouth
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.01last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.14last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.0last 10
- Shots
- 12.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.3last 10
- Fouls
- 11.2last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.2last 10
Key players
- T. Devlin3G 0A9 apps
- Z. Swanson2G 0A9 apps
- R. Kavuma McQueen0G 2A9 apps
Line movement
Wrexham—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Portsmouth—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Wrexham result here; the model's main factors are Attacking xG form (away) and Expected goals (home). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (away)0.75Expected goals (home)1.50Away form (away)5.31Attacking xG form (home)1.39What's at stake (away)0.04Pi-rating edge0.29
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.