Wrexham vs West Brom prediction
ChampionshipRound 10Racecourse Ground
Wrexham20:45
Tue 13 Oct
Prediction T-24h
West BromMost likelyWrexham win · 45%
Best price2.34 Dafabet
Prediction
45%1Wrexhammarket 42%
28%XDrawmarket 28%
27%2West Brommarket 30%
Wrexham+3.0 ppDraw-0.3 ppWest Brom-2.7 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Wrexhampays 4% more than the typical book | Drawpays 4% more than the typical book | West Brompays 3% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.20best |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.35 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Betvictor | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.13 |
| Dafabet | 2.34best | 3.40 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.24 | 3.34 | 3.04 |
| Onexbet | 2.26 | 3.34 | 3.05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26 | 3.48best | 3.12 |
| Sbo | 2.13 | 3.02 | 2.84 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Wrexham at 2.34 (Dafabet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
10.80units · 1.1% of bankroll
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Wrexham
- D1-1DER
- W2-1SOU
- L0-6WH
- D1-1BUR
- D0-0SWA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
West Brom
- L0-1BIR
- L0-1WOL
- D1-1QPR
- W1-0DER
- W1-0WAT
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Wrexham
No reported absences.
West Brom
No reported absences.
Head to head
Wrexham 0Draws 1West Brom 1
- WB 2-2 WRE
- WRE 2-3 WB
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Wrexham
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.16last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.34last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.3last 10
- Shots
- 12.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.9last 10
- Fouls
- 10.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 9
West Brom
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.14last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.61last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.9last 10
- Shots
- 10.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.7last 10
- Fouls
- 9.8last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 10
Referee profile
- Referee
- James Bell
- Yellows / game
- —
- Matches officiated
- 0
Venue
- Venue
- Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Line movement
Wrexham—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
West Brom—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Wrexham result here, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and Away form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (home)0.85Away form (away)5.78Pi-rating edge0.28Recent form (home)4.56Attacking xG form (away)0.83Home advantage (team-tuned)56.1
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.