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UEFA Champions League

Calibrated predictions and our model's track record in UEFA Champions League.

Model performance

Model RPS—lower is better
Market RPS—lower is better
RPS delta—not enough settled data yet
Graded vs closing line0settled predictions with a logged closing line — the rows the RPS pair is scored on
Mean CLV—
Positive CLV—
Settled predictions0

Performance is measured across all settled predictions and reproducible on the public track record. Transparency

Upcoming

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct, 18:45
LensLensvSporting CPSporting CP

Toss-up

Sporting CP win

40% chance

Best price

2.67

Onexbet

135%
X25%
240%
BTTSBTTS yes 63%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 65%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct, 18:45
Sabah FASabah FAvSlavia PrahaSlavia Praha

Toss-up

Slavia Praha win

45% chance

Best price

2.08

Dafabet

128%
X27%
245%
BTTSBTTS yes 61%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 64%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct, 21:00
GalatasarayGalatasarayvBarcelonaBarcelona

Biggest price gap

Barcelona win

75% chance

Best price

1.30

Onexbet

1.1 pts better than market
112%
X14%
274%
BTTSBTTS yes 62%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 66%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct, 21:00
VillarrealVillarrealvNapoliNapoli

Biggest price gap

Villarreal win

42% chance

Best price

2.29

Onexbet

1.2 pts better than market
142%
X26%
232%
BTTSBTTS yes 60%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct, 21:00
RB LeipzigRB LeipzigvPSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven

Most likely

RB Leipzig win

53% chance

Best price

1.81

Onexbet

153%
X21%
226%
BTTSBTTS yes 62%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 64%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct, 21:00
ArsenalArsenalvLilleLille

Biggest price gap

Arsenal win

78% chance

Best price

1.26

Onexbet

1.3 pts better than market
178%
X15%
27%
BTTSBTTS yes 60%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 63%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct, 21:00
InterIntervClub Brugge KVClub Brugge KV

Most likely

Inter win

76% chance

Best price

1.28

Betano

176%
X15%
29%
BTTSBTTS yes 62%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 64%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct, 21:00
Atletico MadridAtletico MadridvManchester UnitedManchester United

Most likely

Atletico Madrid win

46% chance

Best price

2.00

Onexbet

146%
X27%
227%
BTTSBTTS yes 60%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct, 18:45
FeyenoordFeyenoordvComoComo

Most likely

Como win

47% chance

Best price

1.98

Onexbet

129%
X24%
247%
BTTSBTTS yes 64%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 66%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct, 21:00
Aston VillaAston VillavFenerbahçeFenerbahçe

Biggest price gap

Aston Villa win

57% chance

Best price

1.74

Onexbet

1.0 pts better than market
157%
X24%
219%
BTTSBTTS yes 61%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 62%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct, 21:00
Manchester CityManchester CityvParis Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Most likely

Manchester City win

46% chance

Best price

2.24

Onexbet

146%
X25%
229%
BTTSBTTS yes 62%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 65%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct, 21:00
Real BetisReal BetisvFC PortoFC Porto

Toss-up

Real Betis win

44% chance

Best price

2.16

Onexbet

144%
X28%
228%
BTTSBTTS yes 59%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 65%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026