Spain

La Liga

Calibrated predictions and our model's track record in La Liga.

Model performance

Model RPS0.1246lower is better
Market RPS0.1239lower is better
RPS delta+0.07 ppnot proven — too few graded rows to test
Graded vs closing line1settled predictions with a logged closing line — the rows the RPS pair is scored on
Mean CLV+0.0 pp
Positive CLV0%
Settled predictions2

Performance is measured across all settled predictions and reproducible on the public track record. Transparency

Upcoming

La LigaLa LigaFri 16 Oct, 21:00
Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La CorunavLevanteLevante

Toss-up

Deportivo La Coruna win

43% chance

Best price

2.17

Onexbet

143%
X28%
229%
BTTSBTTS yes 61%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 62%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

La LigaLa LigaSat 17 Oct, 14:00
EspanyolEspanyolvAtletico MadridAtletico Madrid

Biggest price gap

Atletico Madrid win

51% chance

Best price

1.91

Onexbet

1.2 pts better than market
124%
X25%
251%
BTTSBTTS yes 61%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

La LigaLa LigaSat 17 Oct, 16:15
VillarrealVillarrealvElcheElche

Most likely

Villarreal win

63% chance

Best price

1.51

Onexbet

163%
X21%
216%
BTTSBTTS yes 62%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 63%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

La LigaLa LigaSat 17 Oct, 18:30
Real BetisReal BetisvBarcelonaBarcelona

Biggest price gap

Barcelona win

66% chance

Best price

1.49

Onexbet

2.3 pts better than market
116%
X18%
266%
BTTSBTTS yes 62%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 64%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

La LigaLa LigaSat 17 Oct, 21:00
ValenciaValenciavAthletic ClubAthletic Club

Toss-up

Athletic Club win

43% chance

Best price

2.18

Onexbet

129%
X28%
243%
BTTSBTTS yes 60%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 60%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

La LigaLa LigaSun 18 Oct, 14:00
OsasunaOsasunavRacing SantanderRacing Santander

Most likely

Osasuna win

50% chance

Best price

2.02

Betano

150%
X28%
222%
BTTSBTTS yes 62%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 62%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

La LigaLa LigaSun 18 Oct, 16:15
Celta VigoCelta VigovAlavesAlaves

Toss-up

Celta Vigo win

45% chance

Best price

2.08

Onexbet

145%
X28%
227%
BTTSBTTS yes 60%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 59%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

La LigaLa LigaSun 18 Oct, 18:30
MalagaMalagavReal SociedadReal Sociedad

Most likely

Real Sociedad win

45% chance

Best price

2.29

Onexbet

128%
X27%
245%
BTTSBTTS yes 60%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 59%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

La LigaLa LigaSun 18 Oct, 21:00
Real MadridReal MadridvSevillaSevilla

Biggest price gap

Real Madrid win

76% chance

Best price

1.30

Onexbet

1.7 pts better than market
176%
X15%
29%
BTTSBTTS yes 61%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 64%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

La LigaLa LigaMon 19 Oct, 21:00
GetafeGetafevRayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano

Toss-up

Rayo Vallecano win

39% chance

Best price

2.74

Pinnacle

133%
X28%
239%
BTTSBTTS yes 60%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

La LigaLa LigaWed 21 Oct, 20:00
LevanteLevantevAthletic ClubAthletic Club

Biggest price gap

Levante win

31% chance

Best price

3.70

Pinnacle

1.3 pts better than market
131%
X28%
241%
BTTSBTTS yes 61%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

La LigaLa LigaFri 23 Oct, 21:00
AlavesAlavesvMalagaMalaga

Most likely

Alaves win

51% chance

Best price

1.89

Onexbet

151%
X28%
221%
BTTSBTTS yes 60%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 60%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

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