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England

Premier League

Calibrated predictions and our model's track record in Premier League.

Model performance

Model RPS0.3359lower is better
Market RPS0.3620lower is better
RPS delta-2.61 ppnot proven — too few graded rows to test
Graded vs closing line1settled predictions with a logged closing line — the rows the RPS pair is scored on
Mean CLV+0.0 pp
Positive CLV0%
Settled predictions1

Performance is measured across all settled predictions and reproducible on the public track record. Transparency

Upcoming

Premier LeaguePremier LeagueSat 17 Oct, 13:30
EvertonEvertonvChelseaChelsea

Toss-up

Chelsea win

42% chance

Best price

2.23

Onexbet

132%
X26%
242%
BTTSBTTS yes 61%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Premier LeaguePremier LeagueSat 17 Oct, 16:00
BrentfordBrentfordvLiverpoolLiverpool

Toss-up

Brentford win

39% chance

Best price

2.61

Onexbet

139%
X28%
233%
BTTSBTTS yes 61%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Premier LeaguePremier LeagueSat 17 Oct, 16:00
Manchester CityManchester CityvIpswichIpswich

Biggest price gap

Manchester City win

77% chance

Best price

1.26

Onexbet

1.0 pts better than market
177%
X15%
28%
BTTSBTTS yes 61%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 66%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Premier LeaguePremier LeagueSat 17 Oct, 18:30
NewcastleNewcastlevAston VillaAston Villa

Toss-up

Newcastle win

43% chance

Best price

2.17

Onexbet

143%
X28%
229%
BTTSBTTS yes 61%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Premier LeaguePremier LeagueSun 18 Oct, 15:00
BrightonBrightonvCrystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Most likely

Brighton win

59% chance

Best price

1.63

Onexbet

158%
X24%
218%
BTTSBTTS yes 61%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 62%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Premier LeaguePremier LeagueSun 18 Oct, 15:00
LeedsLeedsvManchester UnitedManchester United

Biggest price gap

Leeds win

39% chance

Best price

2.62

Onexbet

1.1 pts better than market
139%
X28%
233%
BTTSBTTS yes 61%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 62%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Premier LeaguePremier LeagueSun 18 Oct, 15:00
BournemouthBournemouthvSunderlandSunderland

Toss-up

Bournemouth win

45% chance

Best price

2.10

Betano

145%
X27%
228%
BTTSBTTS yes 61%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Premier LeaguePremier LeagueSun 18 Oct, 17:30
Nottingham ForestNottingham ForestvArsenalArsenal

Biggest price gap

Arsenal win

64% chance

Best price

1.66

Onexbet

1.0 pts better than market
116%
X20%
264%
BTTSBTTS yes 60%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMon 19 Oct, 21:00
TottenhamTottenhamvCoventryCoventry

Most likely

Tottenham win

62% chance

Best price

1.54

Onexbet

162%
X21%
217%
BTTSBTTS yes 60%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFri 23 Oct, 21:00
IpswichIpswichvNottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Toss-up

Nottingham Forest win

37% chance

Best price

2.51

Onexbet

136%
X28%
236%
BTTSBTTS yes 62%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Premier LeaguePremier LeagueSat 24 Oct, 13:30
Aston VillaAston VillavManchester CityManchester City

Most likely

Manchester City win

56% chance

Best price

1.70

William Hill

121%
X23%
256%
BTTSBTTS yes 61%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Premier LeaguePremier LeagueSat 24 Oct, 16:00
ArsenalArsenalvEvertonEverton

Most likely

Arsenal win

67% chance

Best price

1.43

Onexbet

167%
X21%
212%
BTTSBTTS yes 60%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 62%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Recent

Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFinal
CoventryCoventry4–1NewcastleNewcastle

Before kick-off, most likely

Newcastle win

43% chance

130%
X27%
243%
BTTSBTTS yes 60%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 59%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026