Get startedLog in

Italy

Serie A

Calibrated predictions and our model's track record in Serie A.

Model performance

Model RPS0.1670lower is better
Market RPS0.1624lower is better
RPS delta+0.46 ppnot proven — too few graded rows to test
Graded vs closing line2settled predictions with a logged closing line — the rows the RPS pair is scored on
Mean CLV+0.0 pp
Positive CLV0%
Settled predictions3

Performance is measured across all settled predictions and reproducible on the public track record. Transparency

Upcoming

Serie ASerie AFri 16 Oct, 20:45
FrosinoneFrosinonevSassuoloSassuolo

Toss-up

Sassuolo win

37% chance

Best price

2.91

Onexbet

136%
X27%
237%
BTTSBTTS yes 61%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Serie ASerie ASat 17 Oct, 15:00
VeneziaVeneziavNapoliNapoli

Most likely

Napoli win

59% chance

Best price

1.76

Onexbet

118%
X23%
259%
BTTSBTTS yes 60%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 64%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Serie ASerie ASat 17 Oct, 18:00
BolognaBolognavInterInter

Biggest price gap

Inter win

58% chance

Best price

1.69

Onexbet

1.5 pts better than market
119%
X23%
258%
BTTSBTTS yes 61%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 65%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Serie ASerie ASat 17 Oct, 20:45
AS RomaAS RomavGenoaGenoa

Most likely

AS Roma win

69% chance

Best price

1.40

Onexbet

168%
X21%
211%
BTTSBTTS yes 60%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 63%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Serie ASerie ASun 18 Oct, 12:30
UdineseUdinesevLecceLecce

Most likely

Udinese win

49% chance

Best price

1.95

Onexbet

149%
X27%
224%
BTTSBTTS yes 60%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 60%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Serie ASerie ASun 18 Oct, 15:00
FiorentinaFiorentinavComoComo

Biggest price gap

Como win

51% chance

Best price

2.13

Onexbet

1.0 pts better than market
124%
X25%
251%
BTTSBTTS yes 61%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 63%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Serie ASerie ASun 18 Oct, 18:00
AC MilanAC MilanvAtalantaAtalanta

Most likely

AC Milan win

48% chance

Best price

1.92

Onexbet

148%
X27%
225%
BTTSBTTS yes 60%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Serie ASerie ASun 18 Oct, 20:45
JuventusJuventusvLazioLazio

Most likely

Juventus win

56% chance

Best price

1.69

Onexbet

156%
X25%
219%
BTTSBTTS yes 60%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 60%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Serie ASerie AMon 19 Oct, 18:30
MonzaMonzavCagliariCagliari

Toss-up

Monza win

39% chance

Best price

2.38

Onexbet

139%
X29%
232%
BTTSBTTS yes 61%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 62%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Serie ASerie AMon 19 Oct, 20:45
ParmaParmavTorinoTorino

Toss-up

Torino win

37% chance

Best price

2.54

Onexbet

134%
X29%
237%
BTTSBTTS yes 60%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 59%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Serie ASerie AFri 23 Oct, 20:45
TorinoTorinovMonzaMonza

Most likely

Torino win

49% chance

Best price

2.15

Onexbet

149%
X27%
224%
BTTSBTTS yes 61%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Serie ASerie ASat 24 Oct, 15:00
CagliariCagliarivBolognaBologna

Toss-up

Bologna win

37% chance

Best price

2.52

Onexbet

133%
X30%
237%
BTTSBTTS yes 60%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 60%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Recent

Serie ASerie AFinal
TorinoTorino2–1UdineseUdinese

Before kick-off, most likely

Torino win

39% chance

139%
X29%
232%
BTTSBTTS yes 61%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Serie ASerie AFinal
AtalantaAtalanta3–1VeneziaVenezia

Before kick-off, most likely

Atalanta win

60% chance

160%
X23%
217%
BTTSBTTS yes 60%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 64%

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Serie ASerie AFinal
CagliariCagliari1–1JuventusJuventus

Before kick-off, most likely

Juventus win

40% chance

137%
X23%
240%

Prediction as of 11 Oct 2026